The Silver Bullet - No. 1

The Anti-Goldilocks Era

Goldilocks is over. The last twenty years were a period of low inflation, few geopolitical frictions, free-trade, and neoliberal policies. We believe this stable, goldilocks environment is over. Record high inequality, persistent inflation on higher fiscal spending, rising geopolitical risks and climate polarisation will shape the future investment environment.

Here’s how we think investors should get ready for this challenge.

The Anti-Goldilocks Era

July 2022

Regime-change across Macro, Policy and Geopolitics

Since the post-war period and the end of the Bretton Woods system, western governments engineered a multi-decade period of stable growth and low inflation. Demographic growth, the rise of private credit, and globalisation have boosted growth – but generated long-standing imbalances …